EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican peso leads decline in Latam ahead of mid-term elections

PUBLISHED: Thu, 03 Jun 2021 14:02:22 GMT

By Susan Mathew June 3 (Reuters) – Mexico’s peso declined on Thursday, with eyes on results of mid-terms elections in the country over the weekend, while a rising dollar ahead of U.S. economic data pressured emerging market currencies across the board. Globally, attention is turning to U.S. non-farm payrolls data on Friday to gauge if a surprisingly strong U.S. economic rebound poses a threat to the assumption that interest rates will stay low for a long time. The dollar climbed ahead of the data, pressuring riskier emerging markets (EM) currencies. MSCI’s index of EM currencies slipped slightly from all-time highs. Turkey’s lira dropped more than 1% after inflation there rose less than expected, while South Africa’s rand lifted off session lows after ratings agency S&P said the country’s fiscal deficits are declining slightly faster than initial expectations. Mexico’s peso led declines across Latin America, down 0.7%, with the elections set to determine the nature of reforms in the country. “The lower the vote count for the (ruling party) MORENA-led coalition (in the lower house), the less anxiety about potential adverse changes to Mexico’s institutional framework,” said analysts at Credit Suisse. They cited initiatives that seeks to modify the constitution on the energy front, and limit the powers and reach of independent entities for the benefit of the federal government, as some of the party’s possible reform moves that would see a negative reaction from the market. Colombia’s peso fell further from six-week highs, down 0.2%. Anti-government protests in Colombia blocked exports of around 800,000 60-kg bags of coffee in May, according to projections from the local coffee growers federation released on Wednesday. What began as a protest against tax reforms has shaped up to be a broader uprising against the social and economic policies of President Ivan Duque. The Chilean peso fell after posting its best session in a month and a half on Wednesday. Prices of copper, Chile’s largest export, fell below $10,000 a tonne after U.S. private payrolls increased far more than expected, setting an upbeat tone for the official jobs report on Friday that could determine the policy stance of major central banks. Markets in Brazil were closed for a local holiday. Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies: Stock Latest Daily % change indexes MSCI Emerging Markets 1382.47 -0.43 MSCI LatAm 2654.80 -0.09 Mexico IPC – – Chile IPSA 4354.08 -0.91 Argentina MerVal – – Colombia COLCAP 1247.74 -0.02 Currencies Latest Daily % change Mexico peso 20.0400 -0.77 Chile peso 720.1 -0.14 Colombia peso 3658.82 -0.21 Peru sol 3.8428 -0.60 Argentina peso (interbank) 94.8100 -0.03 (Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru Editing by Mark Potter)

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