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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="462" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118-820x462.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-452310" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118-820x462.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118-160x90.jpeg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118.jpeg 929w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Gold purchases from central banks led to last year’s surge, with purchases exceeding 1,000 tons for two consecutive years. Traffic_analyzer | Istock | Getty Images</figcaption></figure>



Gold demand hit record highs in 2023 as persistent geopolitical tensions and weakness in China’s economy pushed investors toward the safe haven asset, the World Gold Council said in report.



Total gold transactions stood at 4,899 tons last year compared with 4,741 tons in 2022, inclusive of over the counter deals as well as stock flows that reflect changes to inventories on commodity exchanges.



Unlike trading conducted by an exchange, OTC transactions take place directly between two parties.



The biggest drivers of gold demand in 2023 were the Russia-Ukraine war and Israel-Hamas conflict as well as the slowdown in China’s economy — and these could continue boosting the metal’s prices well into 2024, said Shaokai Fan, head of central banks at WGC.&nbsp;



Prices hit an all-time high of $2,100 an ounce in December as central banks as well as retail investors increased purchases of gold — central bank purchases have exceeded 1,000 tons for two consecutive years. 



“2023 was the second highest year in history of central bank gold buying, within a hair’s breadth of the record high in 2022,” Fan told CNBC in a Zoom interview.&nbsp;



The report showed that the People’s Bank of China was the biggest buyer of gold at 225 tons last year, bumping up its stock to 2,235 tons.



“If you as an individual will see that your own central bank is buying large amounts of gold, you’re at the very least more aware of gold … Or maybe you’re even influenced by the fact that your central bank is buying a lot of gold, you may think of gold as a personal&nbsp;investment as well,”&nbsp; Fan said.&nbsp;



China’s real estate crisis has also pushed more investors toward gold, he highlighted.



China Evergrande, once among the country’s largest property developers, was ordered by a Hong Kong court to liquidate after the company failed to reach an 11th-hour deal over the weekend to restructure.



The country’s investments in gold bars and coins rose 28% from 2023 and stood at 280 tons last year.



“Chinese investors are worried about the future of other asset classes, and they’re turning to gold as a way to protect their investment portfolios,” Fan said. Gold has actually done very well in renminbi terms, and very well compared to other asset classes in China.”&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-gold-jewelry-purchases"><a></a>Gold jewelry purchases</h2>



Data from the World Gold Council showed that&nbsp;China dethroned India as the world’s largest gold&nbsp;jewelry buyer in 2023.&nbsp;



People in China bought 603 tons of gold Jewelry in 2023, a 10% increase from the previous year.&nbsp;



This was largely due to a rise in weddings that were postponed after the economy reopened from the pandemic in late 2022, Fan noted. 



He&nbsp;elaborated that gold purchases could rise further as the Lunar New Year approaches, and according to Asian folklore, the upcoming Year of the Dragon is a good year to have children.&nbsp;



“More babies will generally [cause] a positive impact on gold demand,” Fan said, but warned that China’s gold demand could fall after the first quarter of 2024.&nbsp;



Apart from rising gold prices and a slowdown in economic growth, this year is predicted to be a less auspicious year for marriages, the WGC report said.&nbsp;India too will have just 16 auspicious wedding dates in the first quarter, compared with 28 last year.



Gold Jewelry purchases fell by 6% in 2023 to 562 tons from the previous year due to the country’s price sensitive market, Fan said.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><a></a>2024 outlook&nbsp;</h2>



Gold purchases this year are unlikely to meet 2023 levels, but a fall in inflation could prevent a drastic drop in demand, WGC said.&nbsp;



“Should inflation drop significantly consumers might start to feel wealthier in real terms, which could mitigate some of the drop in demand.” 



Inflation in the U.S. came in at 3.3% on a 12-month basis in 2023, still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell saying Wednesday that the U.S. Federal Reserve was unlikely to cut interest rates in March.



The announcement triggered a 3% fall in gold prices which stood at $2,064 during Asia’s Thursday morning trading session.



“During periods of persistent strong hyperinflation, gold does very well. But during moderate inflationary periods, gold can go either way. It might be determined by other factors as well,” Fan said.

107308670-1695930955313-gettyimages-1478432952-118

Gold demand hit record highs in 2023 amid geopolitical risks, China weakness

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-452135" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/GettyImages-1804152399-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Lewis Hamilton of Mercedes before group photo ahead of the Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix at Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates on November 26, 2023. (Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)</figcaption></figure>



Seven-time Formula 1 world champion Lewis Hamilton is on the cusp of a surprise move from Mercedes to Ferrari for the 2025 season, according to multiple media reports.



Both Sky Sports and BBC Sport reported on the news and suggested that formal confirmation could come as early as Thursday. ESPN, meanwhile, cited sources within Formula 1 as saying the deal was “as good as done.”



CNBC was not able to independently verify the reports.



Mercedes declined to comment when contacted by CNBC. A spokesperson at Ferrari was not immediately available to comment.



A move to Ferrari, one of the most iconic teams in the history of motorsport, would bring an end to a remarkably successful partnership. Hamilton first signed with Mercedes in 2013 and went on to win six of his seven world titles with the team between 2014 and 2020.



The prospect of Hamilton joining Ferrari has been the subject of intense speculation over recent years, although Hamilton has previously said he intends to stay with Mercedes for the rest of his life.



In August of last year, Hamilton signed a new two-year deal with Mercedes to keep him on board through the 2025 season, although it’s not clear whether the contract included an exit clause.



Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff described the team’s partnership with Hamilton at the time as “one of the most successful in the sport’s history” adding that it was “always a formality” they would continue with “F1′s biggest global star.”



If Hamilton were to leave Mercedes for Ferrari, it is reported he would likely replace Ferrari’s&nbsp;Carlos Sainz given that&nbsp;his teammate, Charles Leclerc,&nbsp;recently signed a fresh contract extension.



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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="461" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO-820x461.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-451521" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO-820x461.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO-160x90.jpeg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/107223161-1681220740794-gettyimages-1243887539-IMF_WORLD_ECO.jpeg 1600w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Photo: via CNBC</figcaption></figure>



JOHANNESBURG/WASHINGTON, Jan 30 (Reuters) &#8211; The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday edged its forecast for global economic growth higher, upgrading the outlook for both the United States and China &#8211; the world&#8217;s two largest economies &#8211; and citing faster-than-expected easing of inflation.



The IMF&#8217;s chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, said the global lender&#8217;s updated World Economic Outlook showed that a &#8220;soft landing&#8221; was in sight, but overall growth and global trade still remained lower than the historical average. However the fund downgraded its Sub-Saharan Africa forecast on subpar growth in Nigeria and South Africa, the region&#8217;s largest economies.



&#8220;The global economy continues to display&nbsp;remarkable&nbsp;resilience, with inflation declining steadily and growth holding up. The chance of a &#8216;soft landing&#8217; has increased,&#8221;&nbsp;Gourinchas&nbsp;told reporters in Johannesburg, adding, &#8220;We are very far from a global recession scenario.&#8221;



But he cautioned that the base of&nbsp;expansion&nbsp;was slow and risks remained, including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and attacks in the Red Sea that could disrupt commodity prices and supply chains.



Delays in announced fiscal consolidation in what Gourinchas called &#8220;the biggest global election year in history&#8221; could boost economic activity but might also spur inflation, he added.



The IMF said the improved outlook was supported by stronger private and public spending despite tight monetary conditions, as well as increased labor force participation, mended supply chains and cheaper energy and commodity prices.



The IMF forecast global growth of 3.1% in 2024, up two-tenths of a percentage point from its October forecast, and said it expected unchanged growth of 3.2% in 2025. The historical average for the 2000-2019 period was 3.8%.



Global trade was expected to expand by&nbsp;3.3% in 2024 and 3.6% in 2025, well below the historical average of 4.9%, with gains weighed down by&nbsp;thousands of fresh trade restrictions.



The IMF stuck with its October forecast for headline inflation of 5.8% for 2024, but lowered the 2025 forecast to 4.4% from 4.6% in October. Excluding Argentina, which has seen inflation spike, global headline inflation would be lower, Gourinchas said.



Advanced economies should see average inflation of 2.6%, down four-tenths of a percentage point from the October forecast, with inflation set to reach central bank targets of 2% in 2025. By contrast, inflation would average 8.1% in emerging market and developing economies in 2024, before easing to 6% in 2025.



The IMF said average oil prices would drop 2.3% in 2024, versus the 0.7% decline it had predicted in October, and said prices were expected to drop 4.8% in 2025.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-red-sea-attacks">RED SEA ATTACKS</h2>



&#8220;Staying on the path to a soft landing will not be easy,&#8221; Gourinchas said, noting that&nbsp;new commodity price spikes from geopolitical shocks, including&nbsp;continued attacks on shipping in the Red Sea, could prolong tight monetary conditions.



Gourinchas told reporters the IMF was watching developments in the Middle East closely, but the broader economic impact&nbsp;appeared&nbsp;&#8220;relatively limited&#8221;&nbsp;as of now.



&#8220;It doesn&#8217;t seem to represent, as of now, a major source of potentially reigniting supply-side inflation,&#8221; he&nbsp;said.



The United States got one of the biggest upgrades in the January update of the IMF outlook, with its GDP now forecast to expand by 2.1% in 2024 versus the 1.5% forecast in October. Growth was expected to ease to 1.7% in 2025.



Gourinchas credited fiscal support and consumer spending for the upgrade, but said the IMF had&nbsp;warned&nbsp;Washington that some of its subsidies from domestic producers and other industrial policies could violate global trade rules.



The euro area got a downgrade, and was now expected to grow just 0.9% in 2024 and 1.7% in 2025, with the biggest European economy &#8211; Germany &#8211; expected to see minimal GDP growth of 0.5% in 2024 instead of the 0.9% forecast in October.



China&#8217;s GDP was expected to grow by 4.6% in 2024, an upward revision of four-tenths of a percentage point from October, and 4.1% in 2025. Gourinchas said the boost reflected significant fiscal support from the authorities, and a less-severe-than-expected slowdown stemming from the property sector.



The U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England were expected to&nbsp;start lowering interest rates gradually in the second half of 2024, Gourinchas said, adding, &#8220;We are not quite there yet.&#8221;



The Bank of Japan was expected to maintain low interest rates, and that was &#8220;appropriate,&#8221; but the IMF had told it to be ready to raise rates if inflation spiked, he said.



Gourinchas added that markets had been &#8220;excessively optimistic&#8221; on the prospects for early interest rate cuts by major central banks, and a repricing could increase long-term interest rates and trigger more rapid fiscal consolidation that would weigh on growth prospects.



Emerging market and developing economies&nbsp;were expected to grow by&nbsp;4.1% in 2024, with&nbsp;emerging&nbsp;and developing Europe getting an upgrade due to&nbsp;stronger-than-expected growth in Russia on the back of&nbsp;military spending for the war in Ukraine.



Russia&#8217;s GDP was expected to grow 2.6% in 2024, 1.5 percentage points more than expected in October, with growth seen easing to 1.1% in 2025. The IMF said there could be further revisions since the numbers were preliminary and there were questions about the extent of Russia&#8217;s fiscal stimulus.



Negative growth in Argentina depressed the forecast for the Latin America and Caribbean region, with growth seen dropping to 1.9% in 2024, four-tenths of a percentage point lower than in October. Growth should edge higher to 2.5% in 2025, the IMF said.



Gourinchas said the global outlook reflected more balanced upside and downside risks, with the risk of a wider conflict in the Middle East offset by the prospect that lower fuel prices could help inflation fall faster than expected.



&#8220;We see them as broadly balanced at this point,&#8221; he said, noting that a lot of the downside risks &#8211; especially with respect to disinflation &#8211; seen a year ago had not materialized.



(Reporting by Andrea Shalal; Editing by Paul Simao)

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Sony is making a bold bet on Africa’s video game industry.&nbsp;



The Japanese consumer electronics and gaming giant has invested an undisclosed sum into Carry1st, a video game studio based in Cape Town, South Africa, via its Sony Innovation Fund venture arm, Carry1st told CNBC exclusively.&nbsp;



The deal is a strategic investment that will see the two companies partner on a range of commercial opportunities. For now, the two companies are in the “exploratory stages” of that partnership.



Cordel Robbin-Coker, CEO and co-founder of Carry1st, said talks with the Sony Innovation Fund began about eight to nine months ago, and that his pitch to the PlayStation console maker was that Africa is the next big market to find growth in video games.&nbsp;



“As large companies like Sony that have really strong footholds in tier-one and tier-two markets start thinking about where the next billion customers and gamers are going to come from, our pitch is that Africa is a prime market for that,” Robbin-Coker told CNBC in an interview.&nbsp;



“We believe very firmly that there is an incredibly underrated console opportunity in Africa,” Robbin-Coker said, citing countries like Nigeria, Morocco and Algeria as places where console adoption is rising a lot.&nbsp;



Sony is coming into an emerging gaming market with blistering growth potential. Sub-Saharan Africa’s gaming industry is expected to generate over $1 billion for the first time in 2024, according to research from Carry1st and venture capital firm Konvoy. 



Many gamers in Africa are buying consoles on “gray” markets — in other words, from vendors who’ve imported consoles from overseas to resell them locally, Robbin-Coker added.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-expanding-playstation-in-africa-nbsp"><a></a>Expanding PlayStation in Africa&nbsp;</h2>



One aspect of Carry1st’s partnership with Sony was about helping the games and entertainment giant expand PlayStation’s footprint in Africa. 



Sony forecast it would sell a record 25 million PlayStation 5 units in its 2023 fiscal year, which would mark the best year for any PlayStation console in history. The PS5 was initially blighted by shortages due to a scarcity of chips and supply chain disruptions.



Sony’s bet with its stake in Carry1st is that Africa will be the next major market to drive growth in PS5 sales.



“Our hope is that we can help [Sony] to expand their reach of PlayStation in the region and support them in a range of ways, including broader go-to-market strategies, as well as digital payments,”&nbsp;Robbin-Coker told CNBC.



He noted Carry1st could take advantage of the changing console business model, where sales have gone from primarily in-store payments for physical consoles and games to a more online experience marked by digital downloads, free-to-play games, and in-app purchases.&nbsp;



Carry1st’s localized payment service Pay1st allows African gamers to buy games using local infrastructure, bank accounts, and payment methods including M-Pesa and mobile wallets. Game makers can monetize their games on Carry1st, the company’s online marketplace for games and add-on content.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><a></a>Original games in the pipeline&nbsp;&nbsp;</h2>



Carry1st, founded in 2018, specializes in developing mainly social and casual puzzle-based mobile games for an African audience.  



Carry1st currently only makes and scales games for other clients, like Activision. But the company is now planning to develop its own original titles this year, with development underway on three new games.&nbsp;&nbsp;



Little is known about the original games for now, but Robbin-Coker says he is “very confident” about the road map for Carry1st’s original titles, and that he “firmly believes” the company is on track to launch its debut first-party game sometime in 2024.&nbsp;



Carry1st is still an early-stage startup, but its growth has been on a tear in recent years. Carry1st says its revenues climbed nearly ninefold between 2021 and 2023. Carry1st said it was unable to give a fuller picture of its financials given the sensitivity of the numbers.&nbsp;



Carry1st works with the likes of Activision, Supercell and Riot Games to bring Western game franchises like “Call of Duty: Mobile” and “Valorant” to Africa.&nbsp;



The company is behind the mobile games “Mancala Adventures,” “SpongeBob Krusty Cook-Off” — made in partnership with Nickelodeon — “Ludo Blitz” and “Mine Rescue.”&nbsp;



Sony’s investment in Carry1st marks the first financial commitment of its new flagship African venture fund, Sony Innovation Fund: Africa, which launched in October 2023 to invest in early-stage startups in Africa’s entertainment industry.&nbsp;



Sony Ventures Corporate, Sony’s venture arm, allocated an initial $10 million to its Africa fund.&nbsp;&nbsp;



Carry1st’s latest deal adds to its list of venture backers, with another top name on the cap table. Andreessen Horowitz, Bitkraft Ventures, Google, Riot Games, and rapper Nas have so far backed the company with $60 million of funding to date.&nbsp;

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